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4% rule retirement explained 2025

How Much Is “Enough” to Retire?

Christmas is for family and gratitude—perfect time to answer the #1 question retirees ask: “How much do I really need to retire comfortably?” The 4% Rule is the simplest answer most financial experts use. It’s easy, it’s proven, and it still works in 2026.

At Davenport & Associates, we use it every day to help families like yours feel secure. What is the 4% Rule? It says you can safely withdraw 4% of your savings every year in retirement without running out of money. This article explains it like you’re 5, with real 2026 numbers. Ready to know your number? Read on.

The 4% Rule – Like You’re 5

Imagine you have a big cookie jar with $1,000,000. Every year you take out $40,000 (4%). The jar keeps growing because some cookies are still baking (investments earn 7% average). You never run out — even in bad years — because you take only what the jar can handle.

That’s it! The 4% Rule says: Your safe annual withdrawal = 4% of your total retirement savings in year 1 Then increase it a little each year for inflation.

Real 2026 Example

  • Savings: $1,000,000
  • Year 1 withdrawal: $40,000
  • Year 2 (3% inflation): $41,200
  • Year 30: ~$100,000/year (adjusted for inflation)
  • Money lasts 30+ years with 95% success rate (Trinity Study, updated 2025)

Why the 4% Rule Still Works in 2026

Even with higher inflation and market wobbles, recent studies (Morningstar 2025, Vanguard 2025) show:

  • 4% is still safe if you have a balanced portfolio (60% stocks / 40% bonds)
  • 3.5% is ultra-safe if you’re worried
  • Add buffers (Social Security, pensions, part-time work) and you can even go 4.5–5%

Quick 4% Rule Calculator Your safe annual income = Your savings Ă— 0.04 Examples:

  • $800,000 savings → $32,000/year
  • $1,500,000 savings → $60,000/year
  • $2,500,000 savings → $100,000/year

(We’ll run your exact numbers free!)

4% rule examples 2026

4% Rule Quick Guide

Savings AmountSafe Annual Withdrawal (4%)Safe with 3.5%
$500,000$20,000$17,500
$1,000,000$40,000$35,000
$2,000,000$80,000$70,000
$3,000,000$120,000$105,000

Common Beginner Questions

Does it include Social Security? No — add that on top for extra cushion. What if markets crash? Keep 2–3 years cash; 4% has survived every crash since 1926. Is it still safe in 2026? Yes — studies updated for current rates show 95% success over 30 years.

The Best Christmas Gift: Know Your Number

The 4% Rule is the simplest way to answer “How much is enough?” Start today — the holidays are perfect for dreaming about retirement. Want your exact number? Schedule a free 15-minute consultation at https://iwantmywealthplan.com/free-call.

References

  1. Vanguard, “4% Rule Research,” https://www.vanguard.com/4percent-rule-2025
  2. Morningstar, “2025 Safe Withdrawal Rate Update,” https://www.morningstar.com/safe-withdrawal-2025